I agree, the difference a week makes, from despair, gloom and sack the manager, to top four is on the cards. But what is the realism in this situation: facts as follows
Remaining games and current points
|Everton 29-48pts||Arsenal 29-50pts||Tottenham 30 – 54pts||Liverpool 30 -45pts|
|Tottenham||West Brom||FC Basel||West Ham|
|Fulham||Man Utd||Man City||Everton|
There are millions of combinations of possible outcomes, but a number of factors come in to play at this point of season
1- Current Form
2- Position (e.g. relegation, something to play for, cup final places etc)
3- Home vs Away games
4 – Head to head against rivals.
5 – Squad size and injuries.
Out of all these run-ins, Liverpool probably have on paper the easiest, but given their sporadic nature I dont think they have what it takes to overhaul a 9 pt gap. Estimated final points, 60pts
Arsenal, I dont think have the stomach for battles. There form undulates more than a roller coaster, they have some tough away games, overall I think they will accumulate another 15pts putting them on 65pts.
Spurs, there season will hinge on AVB’s desire to win a trophy, the UEFA cup and his team’s ability not to run into injuries. On paper their last 4 games should give them a minimum of 10 pts, so I think another 15pt leaving total of 69pts.
Everton, their destiny is in their own hands. We play all their nearest rivals (including chelsea, who I think are well on track for 3rd) and if we can get over the hurdle of missing 2 of our best players, in combination with a run of form for Jelavic, who knows. Though realistically, we have the toughest run in, we play all our rivals on their home ground and a realistic point grab from last 9 games is 14pts. Meaning final total 62pts and a credible 6th place. If you take into consideration, being robbed of 4 pts earlier in the season, a fifth place would have been a good achievement and guarantee European football. Fingers crossed, we can claw a few more points.